San Diego @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

SD vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Mitch Keller logo Mitch Keller o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

San Diego’s strikeout rate has been on the rise (22%) across the Padres' past seven games, and that opens the door for Mitch Keller and his sweeper to rack up a few strikeouts tonight. Keller doesn’t have the gas to blow anyone away, but he’s struck out eight per nine over his career at PNC Park behind a devastating sweeper with a 33% whiff rate against righties. Keller should have a long enough leash to benefit from at least five Padres boasting whiff rates over 25%, which should allow for at least five Keller strikeouts tonight.

MoneyLine
San Diego Padres logo SD (-142)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

The Pittsburgh Pirates couldn't even win when Paul Skenes was pitching, now they trot out Mitch Keller against a very good offensive team in San Diego. Keller has given up plenty of contact this season, and the Padres' offense is starting to find a rhythm again, putting up 12 runs across their last 2 games. I'll take the better team here, with the better pitcher on the bump. 

Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Manny Machado has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.9% seasonal rate to 20.6% in the last 14 days.. Manny Machado has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.9-mph mark.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. In the last two weeks, Fernando Tatis Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph in recent games.. Based on Statcast data, Fernando Tatis Jr. grades out in the 96th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 31.800.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Dylan Cease in today's game.
Total RBIs
Enmanuel Valdez logo
Enmanuel Valdez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Enmanuel Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Enmanuel Valdez's 29.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.
Total RBIs
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.. Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.. Gavin Sheets has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .237 BA is quite a bit lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 7th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Compared to last season, Xander Bogaerts has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 49.4% this season.. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 55.6% over the past two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Martin Maldonado logo
Martin Maldonado o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.. Martin Maldonado's 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.. Martin Maldonado's 17.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the game: 83rd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Compared to last season, Xander Bogaerts has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 49.4% this season.. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 55.6% over the past two weeks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.. Manny Machado has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.9% seasonal rate to 20.6% in the last 14 days.. Manny Machado has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.9-mph mark.
Quick Bet information modal

Place your Bet from Covers in seconds with QuickBet.

Look for this icon

*Participating sportsbooks only. Only available in regulated states.

SD vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

75% picking San Diego

75%
25%

Total PicksSD 650, PIT 211

Moneyline
SD
PIT
Moneyline

SD vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Martin Maldonado
M. Maldonado
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Martin Maldonado's 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Martin Maldonado's 17.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the game: 83rd percentile.

Martin Maldonado logo

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Martin Maldonado's 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Martin Maldonado's 17.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the game: 83rd percentile.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Compared to last season, Xander Bogaerts has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 49.4% this season.

Xander Bogaerts logo

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Compared to last season, Xander Bogaerts has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 49.4% this season.

Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jose Iglesias
J. Iglesias
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Iglesias are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller. Jose Iglesias has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.9-mph to 87.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Jose Iglesias logo

Jose Iglesias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Iglesias are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller. Jose Iglesias has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.9-mph to 87.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all major league stadiums. Mitch Keller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last year's 9.7° to 4.2° this year.

Fernando Tatis Jr. logo

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all major league stadiums. Mitch Keller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle from last year's 9.7° to 4.2° this year.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup.

Alexander Canario Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Alexander Canario
A. Canario
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage today. Alexander Canario's speed has increased this year. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.69 ft/sec now.

Alexander Canario logo

Alexander Canario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Alexander Canario will hold that advantage today. Alexander Canario's speed has increased this year. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.69 ft/sec now.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has suffered from bad luck given the .096 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Tommy Pham will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has suffered from bad luck given the .096 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .266 rate is quite a bit lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jared Triolo has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .266 rate is quite a bit lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Dylan Cease in today's game.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Dylan Cease in today's game.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Luis Arraez's 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 0th percentile this year. Luis Arraez's 87.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 8th percentile this year.

Luis Arraez logo

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Luis Arraez's 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 0th percentile this year. Luis Arraez's 87.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 8th percentile this year.

Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jason Heyward
J. Heyward
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.229) implies that Jason Heyward has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .209 actual batting average.

Jason Heyward logo

Jason Heyward

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.229) implies that Jason Heyward has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .209 actual batting average.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease today. Adam Frazier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 47.9% on the season to 60% over the past 14 days.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease today. Adam Frazier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Adam Frazier's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 47.9% on the season to 60% over the past 14 days.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today.

Joey Bart logo

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Joey Bart is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage today.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all major league stadiums. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Manny Machado logo

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Dingers are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all major league stadiums. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 41.8% to 50%.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Ke'Bryan Hayes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 41.8% to 50%.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.

Gavin Sheets logo

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.

Tyler Wade Total Hits Props • San Diego

Tyler Wade
T. Wade
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tyler Wade will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Tyler Wade tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .268 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.

Tyler Wade logo

Tyler Wade

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Tyler Wade will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Tyler Wade tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .268 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .295.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Enmanuel Valdez
E. Valdez
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Enmanuel Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez logo

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Enmanuel Valdez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park projects as the #9 venue in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

SD vs PIT Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

There are no User Picks for this match up at the moment. Visit our Team Leaders to see all User picks.

San Diego Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sabster611 9-1-0 +23405
2 Infinite-H 8-2-0 +22730
3 Bigboys9 6-4-0 +20690
4 CJONES1068 8-2-0 +14925
5 Enelra18 5-5-0 +13770
6 Ollywood 8-2-0 +13087
7 dude18555 5-5-0 +13040
8 vlkvlk2012 2-8-0 +12910
9 Moneyman00 6-4-0 +12810
10 dawoodman 9-1-0 +12745
All Padres Money Leaders

Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders
Top User Picks

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

Some of our content has moved

Records, stats, preview and injuries can be found in the Stats tab. Props can be found in the Picks Tab.