San Francisco @ San Diego props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in the game for RHB batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Hitting from the same side that Landen Roupp throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle in recent games (-0.2° in the past week's worth of games) is considerably lower than his 7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-worst field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Luis Arraez has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) over the past two weeks.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Michael King. Patrick Bailey's launch angle in recent games (36° over the past week) is significantly better than his 20.1° seasonal figure. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.4% to 24.4%. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, putting up a .205 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .079 deviation.

When estimating his batting average ability, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 9th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage today. Jung Hoo Lee's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 44% to 61.5%.

Tyler Fitzgerald's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Tyler Fitzgerald has notched a .371 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Willy Adames has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 93.6-mph EV. Last season, Willy Adames had an average launch angle of 22.2° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 28.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 53%. By putting up a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Heliot Ramos grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills. Heliot Ramos has compiled a .262 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Heliot Ramos has posted a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96.1-mph over the last 14 days. Matt Chapman's launch angle this season (23.6°) is a considerable increase over his 16.1° angle last season.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Sheets can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Xander Bogaerts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (24.7° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 10° seasonal angle.

Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this season (24.5°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° mark last season. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (28.4° over the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 24.2° seasonal mark. LaMonte Wade Jr. has been unlucky this year, putting up a .213 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .115 difference. LaMonte Wade Jr. has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.45 K/BB rate.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Wilmer Flores has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 87.6-mph figure. Wilmer Flores's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 42.3% on the season to 62.5% in the last week's worth of games.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jason Heyward will have the handedness advantage over Landen Roupp in today's matchup. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage today. Jason Heyward's quickness has gotten better this year. His 26.83 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.39 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.229) provides evidence that Jason Heyward has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .207 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Manny Machado has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12% seasonal rate to 20.6% in the past two weeks.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Iglesias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 80.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.8-mph recently. Jose Iglesias's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 48.3% on the season to 66.7% over the past week. By putting up a .354 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Jose Iglesias is positioned in the 89th percentile.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Tyler Wade will have an edge today. Tyler Wade is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler Wade will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Tyler Wade's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 37.5% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.