Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 6, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
MIL
@
COL
Fri, Jun 5 • 8:40 PM ET
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+288)
Chourio is red-hot, posting a .765 xSLG, .524 ISO, and 44.4% hard-hit rate over the last week. The Brewers outfielder faces Ryan Feltner, who owns a 6.35 xERA and has allowed a 46.9% hard-hit rate. Coors Field only strengthens an already appealing matchup.
Jackson Chourio o0.5 Total Home Runs (+288)
Chourio is red-hot, posting a .765 xSLG, .524 ISO, and 44.4% hard-hit rate over the last week. The Brewers outfielder faces Ryan Feltner, who owns a 6.35 xERA and has allowed a 46.9% hard-hit rate. Coors Field only strengthens an already appealing matchup.
NYM
@
SD
Fri, Jun 5 • 9:40 PM ET
o7.5 (+105)
Scott owns a 2.63 ERA over the past 30 days despite a 3.75 SIERA and 3.88 xFIP. He is not pitching as well as the results suggest, and a correction is coming. Meanwhile, King has benefited from some batted ball luck. Opponents have hit .247 on balls put in play the last month, noticeably below his career average of .285. Playable to -105.
SD (-130)
Michael King ranks in the 91st percentile in pitching run value and has the league’s No. 1 bullpen by xFIP backing him up. New York Mets starter Christian Scott sits in the 54th percentile in Pitching Run Value, the 43rd in xERA, and has struggled with walks — something the Padres excel at drawing. Look for the pitching edge to shine through. Play the Padres to -140.
WAS
@
AZ
Fri, Jun 5 • 9:40 PM ET
WAS (+118)
Corbin Carroll leads the National League in fWAR, so if you’re going to have any chance of slowing down the Arizona Diamondbacks, you need to disrupt their offensive engine at the top of the lineup. Foster Griffin, a left-handed pitcher, is well-positioned to do that against the left-handed-hitting Carroll. Left-handed batters are hitting just .178 with a .624 OPS against Griffin this season, and there’s also a lack of familiarity working in his favor. Griffin has never faced any hitter in this Diamondbacks lineup before, which is typically an advantage for the pitcher. The Washington Nationals are trading as +118 underdogs in this spot, but I make them closer to even money to pull off the win in the desert. That’s why I’m willing to back James Wood and company on the moneyline.
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
James Wood finds himself back on the card tonight in a favorable matchup against Merrill Kelly. The Diamondbacks right-hander has struggled to keep left-handed hitters on the ground at home, allowing plenty of elevated contact and loud exit velocities. That sets up well for Wood, who has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball against right-handed pitching. Over his recent sample, the Nationals star has produced elite power metrics, including a massive hard-hit rate and barrel percentage. Wood also grades out as one of the top arsenal matches on the slate, making this a prime spot to target his stolen base prop at anything up to -115.
LAA
@
LAD
Fri, Jun 5 • 10:10 PM ET
The Dodgers have cashed the Under in 15 of their last 22 games. Shohei Ohtani and Max Muncy are banged up, Toescar Hernandez is hurt, and Mookie Betts is not effective at this current juncture. Both starters have an above-average Stuff+ (104) and are in fine form.
LAA has a starting pitching advantage with Reid Detmers, who is bound for positive regression given his league-low 60.8% left-on-base rate. His 2.92 xERA, 20.8% K-BB%, and 104 Stuff+ are clear indicators of an effective arm, whereas Roki Sasaki's .328 xBA and 11th percentile barrel rate are not.
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