Atlanta @ Cincinnati Picks & Props
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ATL vs CIN Props
Gio Urshela Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Gio Urshela is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gio Urshela in today's game. Gio Urshela has put up a .264 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 6th percentile. Placing in the 16th percentile, Gio Urshela sits with a .265 BABIP this year.
Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 40% on the season to 72.7% in the last two weeks.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the past week, Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 98.3 mph to 88.7 mph. Marcell Ozuna's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 17.1% on the season to 9.4% over the last 14 days. Despite posting a .393 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has experienced some positive variance given the .045 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.
Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Jake Fraley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Grant Holmes.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Sean Murphy will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Williamson in today's game. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Williamson throws from, Whit Merrifield will have an edge today. Whit Merrifield has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's right field dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
TJ Friedl is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. TJ Friedl will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Grant Holmes in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Williamson throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an advantage in today's game. Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Santiago Espinal has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Travis d'Arnaud will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Williamson in today's game. Travis d'Arnaud has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Brandon Williamson will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Harris II in today's matchup. Michael Harris II hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Michael Harris II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 10.7% on the season to 4.5% in the last 7 days. Michael Harris II has put up a .286 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.
Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Williamson throws from, Jorge Soler will have an edge in today's game.
Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park projects as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences in MLB. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of the day.
ATL vs CIN Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 136 games (+35.05 Units / 23% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 away games (+12.00 Units / 37% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 24 away games (+11.30 Units / 36% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 away games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.30 Units / 48% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 138 games (-47.60 Units / -32% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 126 games (-29.95 Units / -15% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 71 away games (-16.10 Units / -19% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 33 away games (-11.20 Units / -30% ROI)
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+15.75 Units / 23% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 133 games (+14.25 Units / 8% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 43 of their last 72 games at home (+8.50 Units / 10% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+7.55 Units / 54% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 64 games at home (+7.35 Units / 10% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Over in 58 of their last 136 games (-31.80 Units / -20% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 72 games at home (-18.65 Units / -22% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Over in 58 of their last 135 games (-18.60 Units / -12% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games at home (-13.25 Units / -14% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 73 games at home (-11.15 Units / -13% ROI)
ATL vs CIN Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||