Washington @ New York Picks & Props

Joey Gallo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Gallo is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today. Citi Field ranks as the #30 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

10% of the time that Jose Iglesias has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The #1 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an edge today. J.D. Martinez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. J.D. Martinez has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 15.6% seasonal rate to 25% in the last 14 days.

When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill in today's game. James Wood has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, James Wood's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.4% up to 18.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Luis Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Luis Garcia will have the handedness advantage against Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Luis Garcia has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Luis Garcia has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte as the 20th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Mitchell Parker in today's game. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Dylan Crews pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dylan Crews has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .281 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Pete Alonso is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today's game. CJ Abrams has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.2% seasonal rate to 13% over the last two weeks. Over the last 14 days, CJ Abrams's 26.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Jacob Young has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 94.6-mph in the past 7 days. Checking in at the 86th percentile, Jacob Young has posted a .325 BABIP this year.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.250) may lead us to conclude that Brandon Nimmo has experienced some negative variance this year with his .226 actual batting average.

Andres Chaparro is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Andres Chaparro hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Andres Chaparro has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Harrison Bader will have an advantage in today's game. Harrison Bader pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Harrison Bader has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 92.6-mph in the last 14 days. Harrison Bader has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 88-mph mark.

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game. Francisco Alvarez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 94.6-mph in the past 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's game. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the majors, Citi Field's centerfield fences are the shallowest. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Tylor Megill.

Juan Yepez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Juan Yepez pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Juan Yepez has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 7 days. Juan Yepez has compiled a .347 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 88th percentile. Juan Yepez has recorded a .289 batting average this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph mark.

Jose Tena's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Tena is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Jose Tena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tylor Megill today. Jose Tena has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Tena has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 95.9-mph.