Houston @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Extreme flyball bats like Yordan Alvarez tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Caden Dana. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 93.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 87-mph over the last week. Yordan Alvarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (12.8°) is a considerable dropoff from his 15.8° mark last season. Yordan Alvarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (3.3° in the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 12.7° seasonal figure.

Angel Stadium has the 10th-deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Caden Dana will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz today. Yainer Diaz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past two weeks. Yainer Diaz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph dropping to 87.5-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Zach Neto has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Zach Neto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Zach Neto has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Logan O'Hoppe will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Logan O'Hoppe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.7-mph.

The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage today. Eric Wagaman has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the past week — 111.5-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.

Caden Dana will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Jose Altuve has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the past week. Jose Altuve's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has decreased to 86.1-mph over the past two weeks.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today. Angel Stadium has the 10th-deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the same side that Caden Dana throws from, Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jeremy Pena's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage over Caden Dana today. Kyle Tucker's launch angle lately (27.4° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 22° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Meyers has had bad variance on his side this year. His .286 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.

The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Jordyn Adams will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last week, Jordyn Adams has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power). Jordyn Adams has been hot in recent games, notching a 96-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games. Jordyn Adams has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° 42.9% of the time over the last 7 days.

Mauricio Dubon's batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Sporting a .271 batting average this year, Mauricio Dubon is ranked in the 79th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's game. Taylor Ward has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.8% seasonal rate to 26.7% over the past two weeks.

Victor Caratini is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Extreme flyball bats like Victor Caratini are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Caden Dana. Victor Caratini has posted a .269 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Victor Caratini has posted a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Ronel Blanco today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mickey Moniak has had some very poor luck given the .021 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .305.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage today.

Niko Kavadas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Niko Kavadas will have an edge today. Niko Kavadas will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Niko Kavadas has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.8-mph average.

The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Jack Lopez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Jack Lopez's launch angle of late (57° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 5.9° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #10 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium. Alex Bregman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 90.5-mph. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 43% on the season to 55% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Caden Dana throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge today. Jason Heyward has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .204 BA is quite a bit lower than his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Ben Gamel will hold the platoon advantage against Caden Dana in today's matchup. Ben Gamel has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.3-mph EV. Ben Gamel's launch angle of late (26° over the last week) is significantly better than his 12.7° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in baseball for LHB base hits. Batting from the opposite that Caden Dana throws from, Jon Singleton will have the upper hand today. Jon Singleton has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 31.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Jon Singleton has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.1-mph mark. In the past two weeks, Jon Singleton's 36.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Brandon Drury has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.