Baltimore @ Detroit Picks & Props

Gunnar Henderson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph dropping to 90.7-mph over the last 7 days. Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, notching a .383 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .019 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. In the past 7 days, Emmanuel Rivera's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph of late. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.1°, Emmanuel Rivera has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.7° mark in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Madden in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, James McCann has had some very poor luck this year. His .268 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Ty Madden throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage today. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.3°, Jake Rogers has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20.8° angle in the last two weeks. Last season, Jake Rogers had an average launch angle of 19.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Ty Madden in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Jackson Holliday's launch angle of late (23.7° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 8.6° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 9th-best venue in the game for RHB batting average. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Spencer Torkelson's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 90.5 mph to 86.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eloy Jimenez's true offensive skill to be a .319, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .040 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .279 wOBA.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today. Anthony Santander has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 93.6-mph over the past 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Livan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty Madden in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Matt Vierling will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Matt Vierling grades out in the 77th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .268.

The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Trey Sweeney will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trey Sweeney has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.3% seasonal rate to 36.4% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Ty Madden throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game.

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's game. Wenceel Perez's 17.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in baseball: 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Colt Keith is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Burnes in today's matchup.

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today's matchup. Parker Meadows will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The #9 field in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jace Jung will have the upper hand in today's game. Jace Jung will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Jace Jung's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 48.6%.