Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate. Emerson Hancock will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcus Semien in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate. Batting from the same side that Emerson Hancock throws from, Wyatt Langford will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Wyatt Langford will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.3% up to 14.3%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .281 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Polanco has suffered from bad luck given the .040 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Travis Jankowski will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. Travis Jankowski has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) provides evidence that Travis Jankowski has experienced some negative variance this year with his .208 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob deGrom today. J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, J.P. Crawford has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 33.3° mark over the last week.

Josh H. Smith is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Josh H. Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today. Josh H. Smith pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Josh H. Smith has posted a .318 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Julio Rodriguez has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Julio Rodriguez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky given the .056 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .358.

Jonah Heim pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .260 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has experienced some negative variance given the .028 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .288.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Jacob deGrom in today's matchup. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Josh Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 92.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 88.8-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. In the past 14 days, Ezequiel Duran has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 21.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.8°. Posting a .323 BABIP this year, Ezequiel Duran is ranked in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Josh Jung has compiled a .265 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Josh Jung has posted a .346 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Adolis Garcia has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Adolis Garcia's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (20.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 12.9° seasonal figure.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage today. Victor Robles has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days. Victor Robles has recorded a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today. Cal Raleigh has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .316 mark is deflated compared to his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.5 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.7°, Justin Turner has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.2° angle in the past two weeks' worth of games. With a 1.51 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has demonstrated good plate discipline, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Mitch Garver has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Luis Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.