Cincinnati @ Minnesota Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Julian Aguiar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Aguiar's large platoon split. In today's game, Royce Lewis is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (96th percentile). In the last week, Royce Lewis's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 84.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Bailey Ober.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, TJ Friedl will have an edge today. TJ Friedl is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Over the past two weeks, Noelvi Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph lately. Noelvi Marte's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 14.6% on the season to 36.4% in the past 14 days. Despite posting a .238 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Noelvi Marte has experienced some negative variance given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Spencer Steer's launch angle of late (25° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 16.8° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 17th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batters such as Amed Rosario with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bailey Ober who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Amed Rosario has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph to 91.6-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Santiago Espinal's launch angle this season (14.5°) is significantly better than his 11.3° angle last year. Santiago Espinal's launch angle in recent games (23.3° in the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jonathan India's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 16.3% on the season to 12.5% in the last 14 days.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Brooks Lee will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brooks Lee has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.2-mph EV.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Fraley can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Placing in the 89th percentile, Jake Fraley sports a .329 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ty France's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.2° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Because of Julian Aguiar's large platoon split, Edouard Julien will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Wallner ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage over Julian Aguiar today... and moreover, Aguiar has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Byron Buxton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the weakest out of every team playing today. Ryan Jeffers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense. This matchup is expected to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julian Aguiar in today's game... and even better, Aguiar has a large platoon split.

Jose Miranda has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.