Miami @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Alika Williams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alika Williams has experienced some negative variance this year. His .245 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .298. Alika Williams ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50.8% rate since the start of last season).

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for long-balls. Valente Bellozo will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today's matchup. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.8-mph figure last year has fallen off to 85.7-mph. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 88-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.8-mph over the last week. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle of late (-2.5° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 8.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bryan De La Cruz has experienced some negative variance given the .027 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kyle Stowers will have the upper hand today. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Over the last 14 days, Kyle Stowers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Connor Joe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Connor Joe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.2-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Valente Bellozo.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Connor Norby is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Griffin Conine will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Over the last two weeks, Griffin Conine has averaged an impressive 101.1-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Yasmani Grandal has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Yasmani Grandal's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.9%.

Otto Lopez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. In terms of his batting average, Otto Lopez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .253 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Jonah Bride has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 4.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Jared Triolo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jared Triolo has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph figure.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 15th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Cristian Pache has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jhonny Pereda has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.