Cincinnati @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. There has been a significant improvement in Elly De La Cruz's launch angle from last year's 3.4° to 10.4° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Santiago Espinal has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph to 90.8-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Jonathan India will have an advantage in today's game. Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Hitting from the opposite that Fernando Cruz throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. J.D. Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Cruz today. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Starling Marte is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Cruz in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Starling Marte tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Fernando Cruz. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Ty France will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. T.J. Friedl's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (10.6°) is considerably higher than his 5.8° figure last season. T.J. Friedl's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 42.4% on the season to 63.6% in the past 7 days. In terms of his batting average, T.J. Friedl has had bad variance on his side this year. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .235.

This game is projected to have the 11th-best conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Noelvi Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the New York Mets. Over the past week, Noelvi Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.7% up to 14.3%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Fernando Cruz in today's game. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Spencer Steer will have the upper hand in today's game. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeff McNeil has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 91.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 88.5-mph.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Amed Rosario is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Amed Rosario will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Amed Rosario has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Fernando Cruz throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge in today's game. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Tyler Stephenson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's game. Tyler Stephenson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Fernando Cruz in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jesse Winker ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Jesse Winker has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jesse Winker will hold that advantage today.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Among every team in action today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jake Fraley has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 3.1% seasonal rate to 10% in the past week. Jake Fraley's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 14.7% on the season to 40% over the past week. Posting a .328 BABIP this year, Jake Fraley has performed in the 88th percentile.