Arizona @ Houston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Corbin Carroll has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the past 7 days, Corbin Carroll's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

Minute Maid Park projects as the #21 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. Yordan Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.288) provides evidence that Yordan Alvarez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .309 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 9th-worst stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte today.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Herrera will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Jose Herrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the 9th-worst stadium in MLB for righty batting average. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Yainer Diaz will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Chas McCormick will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Chas McCormick's speed has improved this season. His 28.09 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.71 ft/sec now. As it relates to his batting average, Chas McCormick has experienced some negative variance this year. His .201 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .223.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 11th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Kyle Tucker will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 19.5% to 25.3%.

Jake McCarthy's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake McCarthy has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (14.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.1° figure last year. Utilizing Statcast data, Jake McCarthy is in the 93rd percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .288. With a .341 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jake McCarthy grades out in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Altuve's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 16.4% on the season to 26.5% over the last two weeks.

The 2nd-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Framber Valdez in this game. Sporting a 1.93 K/BB rate this year, Geraldo Perdomo has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 80th percentile. Posting a .270 batting average this year, Geraldo Perdomo is ranked in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Mauricio Dubon will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Josh Bell has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph mark.

Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.9°, Jason Heyward has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 37.5° figure over the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) provides evidence that Jason Heyward has suffered from bad luck this year with his .207 actual batting average.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage in today's game. Alex Bregman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.8°, Alex Bregman has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.5° figure in the last 14 days.

Jon Singleton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jon Singleton has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 30.8% in the past two weeks. Jon Singleton has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 81.1-mph over the past 7 days. Jon Singleton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 16.7% on the season to 80% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The 2nd-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Minute Maid Park. Jeremy Pena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jeremy Pena has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christian Walker has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 91.2-mph average.

Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Kevin Newman will have an edge in today's matchup. Kevin Newman has posted a .273 batting average this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Randal Grichuk pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past week's worth of games, Randal Grichuk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 25%.

Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. Ben Gamel will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today's game... and even more favorably, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Ben Gamel will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Victor Caratini has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Jake Meyers has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.