Chicago @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field fences are the shallowest. In the last 14 days, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.3-mph lately. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 36.5% to 46.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Andrew Benintendi hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Andrew Benintendi's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (18.4°) is considerably higher than his 13.4° mark last year.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 7th-best pitching conditions on the slate today. Gunnar Henderson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 94.6 mph to 85.1 mph. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 13.6% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year, putting up a .379 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .016 disparity.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Colton Cowser is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Nastrini in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins II will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 8th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Austin Slater has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Slater tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Nastrini. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Slater will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Slater has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 94.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Luis Robert will have an edge in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Luis Robert's 11.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Jacob Amaya will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Adley Rutschman pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Corey Julks is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Corey Julks will have an edge in today's matchup. Corey Julks hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Corey Julks's launch angle lately (4.5° in the last week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.2° seasonal angle.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Korey Lee will have an edge today. Korey Lee has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Korey Lee has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark. Korey Lee's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 41.8% on the season to 71.4% in the past week.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have the upper hand in today's game. Andrew Vaughn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Nick Nastrini throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an edge in today's matchup. Batters such as Jackson Holliday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Nastrini who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jackson Holliday will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Lenyn Sosa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Lenyn Sosa has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.3% to 51.7% this season. As it relates to his batting average, Lenyn Sosa has suffered from bad luck this year. His .214 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284.

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Emmanuel Rivera has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In the past week, Emmanuel Rivera's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 16.7%. Emmanuel Rivera has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage against Nick Nastrini today. Ryan O'Hearn will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #8 venue in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Anthony Santander's launch angle this year (23.2°) is significantly better than his 20° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Eloy Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Eloy Jimenez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Nastrini who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Eloy Jimenez will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #8 venue in the majors for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Miguel Vargas will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the last two weeks, Miguel Vargas has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 20.1°.

Dominic Fletcher has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.