Atlanta @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #27 stadium in the game for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Aaron Nola throws from, Marcell Ozuna will not have the upper hand today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive skill to be a .348, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .054 disparity between that figure and his actual .402 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Michael Harris II is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Michael Harris II has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Edmundo Sosa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 4th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach today. Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Austin Hays has put up a .329 BABIP this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Whit Merrifield has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 89.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 87.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Nola throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's matchup.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. This game is projected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Sean Murphy pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. J.T. Realmuto will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Schwellenbach in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 5th-best of the day for hitters. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Orlando Arcia's launch angle this year (9°) is a significant increase over his 5.5° mark last year. Orlando Arcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 14.7% on the season to 27.3% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Travis d'Arnaud is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 109-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Gio Urshela has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.6-mph average to last season's 87.4-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the 15th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's game.