World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksLAD 365, AZ 313
Total PicksLAD 268, AZ 158
Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 25%. Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Pfaadt's large platoon split. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Adrian Del Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Stone in today's matchup. Adrian Del Castillo will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Adrian Del Castillo has been hot recently, batting his way to a .416 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today's matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.3-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph EV. Geraldo Perdomo has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 84th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.
The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Kevin Kiermaier will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph mark. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kevin Kiermaier has been unlucky given the .024 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .271.
When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 96-mph seasonal average has decreased to 92.1-mph over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Low humidity has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions of the day at 25%. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today's matchup. Freddie Freeman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 14 days.
Gavin Lux's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's matchup... and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Gavin Lux's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 49.3% on the season to 64% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 12.6% to 21.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jake McCarthy is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Jake McCarthy will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today's matchup.
The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt in today's game... and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Max Muncy has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks. Max Muncy's launch angle this year (27°) is significantly higher than his 21.8° mark last year.
Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. In the last two weeks, Miguel Rojas's 64% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.1%. Miguel Rojas has compiled a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.88 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 81st percentile.
Pavin Smith is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Stone in today's game. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The #2 park in MLB for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Luis Guillorme will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Stone today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Luis Guillorme will hold that advantage today. By putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Luis Guillorme has displayed good plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 ballpark in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.8% up to 15.4%.
Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||