St. Louis @ New York Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in MLB. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage today. Juan Soto will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Juan Soto has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 20.2% this season.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #24 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Hitting from the same side that Will Warren throws from, Masyn Winn meets a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage today.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #24 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Kyle Gibson will hold the platoon advantage over Gleyber Torres in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.9-mph figure last season has dropped off to 90.6-mph.

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #24 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium's CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Gibson throws from, Aaron Judge has a tough challenge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 95.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 91.8-mph in the last 7 days. Paul Goldschmidt's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (15.8°) is a considerable increase over his 12.6° mark last year. Paul Goldschmidt's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 46.4% on the season to 76.9% over the last 7 days.

Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Trent Grisham will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15.7% to 21.8%. This year, Trent Grisham's 11.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 84th percentile among his peers. This year, Trent Grisham has an average exit velocity of 89.9 mph, which is one of the best in baseball at the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Benjamin Rice will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Benjamin Rice will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Benjamin Rice has been unlucky this year with his .277 actual wOBA. Benjamin Rice's 16.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 95th percentile this year.

Alec Burleson has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Yankee Stadium profiles as the #24 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for pitching on the schedule today. Alec Burleson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck this year. His .232 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's game. Lars Nootbaar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph average. Lars Nootbaar has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.5-mph. Despite posting a .306 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lars Nootbaar has experienced some negative variance given the .031 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

Victor Scott will hold the platoon advantage over Will Warren today. Victor Scott has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, Victor Scott's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.4%. Victor Scott has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .214 rate is deflated compared to his .273 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Will Warren throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand today. Brendan Donovan's launch angle in recent games (23.4° in the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 13.7° seasonal mark. Brendan Donovan has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .315 figure is considerably lower than his .340 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ivan Herrera's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.349) implies that Ivan Herrera has had some very poor luck this year with his .315 actual wOBA. Ivan Herrera has put up a .295 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 88th percentile, Ivan Herrera sits with a .342 BABIP this year.

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kyle Gibson. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Oswaldo Cabrera's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 37.3% to 42.9%.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Nolan Arenado has put up a .267 batting average this year, checking in at the 77th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage in today's game. Giancarlo Stanton has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 19.7% seasonal rate to 26.9% over the past 14 days. Giancarlo Stanton has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 95.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Austin Wells has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Austin Wells's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph average. In the last 7 days, Anthony Volpe's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.2%. In notching a .315 BABIP this year, Anthony Volpe is ranked in the 76th percentile.

Jordan Walker's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Walker has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph EV. Jordan Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 12.3% to 18%. Jordan Walker has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .210 figure is deflated compared to his .266 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Based on Statcast metrics, Jordan Walker is in the 83rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .269.

Pedro Pages has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.