Miami @ Colorado Picks & Props
MIA vs COL Picks
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MIA vs COL Consensus Picks
64% picking Colorado
Total PicksMIA 204, COL 355
MIA vs COL Props
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Otto Lopez meets a tough challenge today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Otto Lopez's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.1%.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today's game. By putting up a 3.98 K/BB rate this year, Jesus Sanchez has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 17th percentile.
Brendan Rodgers Total Hits Props • Colorado
Hitting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Brendan Rodgers encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 19.7% to 11.2%. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 46.3% on the season to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.290) suggests that Brendan Rodgers has been very fortunate this year with his .311 actual wOBA.
Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado
Batting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge in today's game. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, putting up a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .039 gap.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Jake Burger faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today. Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jake Burger's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 89.6-mph over the last two weeks. In terms of plate discipline, Jake Burger's ability is quite weak, putting up a 4.34 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 13th percentile.
Connor Norby Total Hits Props • Miami
Connor Norby has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year. Hitting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Connor Norby faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today. Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
Batting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Jonah Bride faces a tough challenge today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today. Jonah Bride will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Jonah Bride's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.1-mph over the past 14 days. Jonah Bride's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 15.7% on the season to 8.1% in the last 14 days.
Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado
Batting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Ezequiel Tovar meets a tough challenge today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year. His .325 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .279. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's skill is quite bad, posting a 10.02 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 0th percentile.
Charlie Blackmon Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Charlie Blackmon's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 86.4-mph mark last season has fallen to 84.1-mph. Charlie Blackmon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 14.5% on the season to 0% in the past week. Charlie Blackmon has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .249 mark is inflated compared to his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .274 BABIP this year, Charlie Blackmon finds himself in the 24th percentile.
Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado
Ryan McMahon's BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.
Derek Hill Total Hits Props • Miami
Bradley Blalock will have the handedness advantage over Derek Hill in today's game. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the strongest among every team in action today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Derek Hill in today's game. Ranked in the 19th percentile, Derek Hill's average exit velocity of 86.1 mph ranks among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season. Grading out in the 23rd percentile, Derek Hill sits with a .255 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Jordan Beck will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Michael Toglia Total Hits Props • Colorado
Michael Toglia has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Michael Toglia will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Drew Romo Total Hits Props • Colorado
Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Drew Romo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado
Nolan Jones's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge in today's matchup.
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Despite posting a .236 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has had some very poor luck given the .034 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Despite posting a .166 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ali Sanchez has had some very poor luck given the .097 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .263.
Jacob Stallings Total Hits Props • Colorado
The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Jacob Stallings will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jacob Stallings's launch angle in recent games (36° in the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 12.6° seasonal figure.
Sam Hilliard Total Hits Props • Colorado
Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Batting from the opposite that Valente Bellozo throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage in today's game.
Griffin Conine Total Hits Props • Miami
Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. Griffin Conine will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bradley Blalock today. Griffin Conine is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Vidal Brujan will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Bradley Blalock in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Vidal Brujan's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.5-mph over the course of the season to 92.1-mph in recent games.
MIA vs COL Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 41 games (+18.00 Units / 35% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 105 games (+14.55 Units / 13% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 61 away games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 38 games (+8.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+6.95 Units / 39% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 133 games (-31.56 Units / -18% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 132 games (-29.60 Units / -19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 106 games (-24.20 Units / -21% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 63 away games (-23.90 Units / -33% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 41 games (-22.70 Units / -49% ROI)
Colorado Trends
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 54 games at home (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 48 games at home (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 71 games (-15.75 Units / -18% ROI)
The Colorado Rockies have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 78 games (-13.40 Units / -15% ROI)
MIA vs COL Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Colorado Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||