New York @ Arizona Picks & Props
NYM vs AZ Picks
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NYM vs AZ Consensus Picks
65% picking Arizona
Total PicksNYM 276, AZ 503
NYM vs AZ Props
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the last week, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°, Brandon Nimmo's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (3.3° in the past 14 days).
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Jose Herrera will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Sean Manaea. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today. Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. In the past two weeks, Jose Iglesias's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 82.8 mph to 80.6 mph.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Pete Alonso has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 93.7-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Starling Marte's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 42.4% to 50.5%. Starling Marte has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .274 rate is considerably lower than his .301 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Mark Vientos has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.2-mph EV.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums. The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. In the last two weeks, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 88.5 mph. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 15.5% on the season to 6.5% over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very good luck this year with his .275 actual batting average.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. J.D. Martinez has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 15.3% seasonal rate to 30% over the past week. J.D. Martinez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.7-mph in the last 14 days.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Corbin Carroll is likely to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jeff McNeil will be in a tough position in today's game. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 15.9%.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Harrison Bader's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%. Harrison Bader has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 89.5-mph.
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jesse Winker is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Batting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Jesse Winker meets a tough challenge today.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 38.1% to 47.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Tyrone Taylor has been unlucky this year with his .294 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 90th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.9 ft/sec this year, Tyrone Taylor is quite quick.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Sean Manaea. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jake McCarthy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Jake McCarthy has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.
Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Randal Grichuk will have the upper hand in today's game.
Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Kevin Newman will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today. Kevin Newman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to more offense. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today.
NYM vs AZ Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 72 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 83 games (+9.80 Units / 9% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games (+8.50 Units / 20% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.25 Units / 35% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.05 Units / 8% ROI)
The New York Mets have only covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 111 games (-15.35 Units / -11% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-14.85 Units / -16% ROI)
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 97 games (+24.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 75 games (+23.45 Units / 28% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 66 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.65 Units / 21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 75 games (-31.00 Units / -38% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 63 games at home (-7.65 Units / -10% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (-3.80 Units / -21% ROI)
NYM vs AZ Top User Picks
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||