Detroit @ Chicago Picks & Props

Colt Keith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year. Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Colt Keith's launch angle in recent games (0.8° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 11.2° seasonal figure.

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Matt Vierling will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Over the past week, Matt Vierling's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. With a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, Matt Vierling has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Dillon Dingler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 27.6% on the season to 42.9% over the last week.

Andrew Vaughn will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game... and even better, Maeda has a large platoon split. Andrew Vaughn has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. Over the past 14 days, Andrew Vaughn's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Kenta Maeda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Benintendi in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Maeda's large platoon split. Andrew Benintendi has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 90°. Batting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Riley Greene has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Parker Meadows is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge today. Parker Meadows pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Brooks Baldwin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Brooks Baldwin has been unlucky this year, notching a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .045 gap.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Davis Martin in today's game. Zach McKinstry has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last 7 days. Over the last week, Zach McKinstry's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Martin throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have an advantage in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 90°. Jake Rogers pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Jake Rogers has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. Jake Rogers has been unlucky this year, posting a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .291 — a .032 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Luis Robert is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Luis Robert pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Because of Kenta Maeda's large platoon split, Nicky Lopez will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Trey Sweeney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin in today's game. Trey Sweeney has been hot in recent games, posting a a 28.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last week. Trey Sweeney has been hot of late, posting a 94.6-mph average exit velocity in the past week's worth of games.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Given Kenta Maeda's large platoon split, Gavin Sheets will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 46.3% to 52.4%.

Jace Jung is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Jace Jung will have the handedness advantage against Davis Martin in today's matchup. Jace Jung has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the last week's worth of games.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all stadiums. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Korey Lee has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Kenta Maeda will hold the platoon advantage against Dominic Fletcher today... and it's a particular mismatch considering Maeda's large platoon split. Dominic Fletcher has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Fletcher will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 91°. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Spencer Torkelson has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 92.9-mph over the past 14 days. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Spencer Torkelson's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%.