Houston @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer in today's game.

Dean Kremer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yainer Diaz in today's game. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.6% to 11.9%. In terms of plate discipline, Yainer Diaz's skill is quite poor, sporting a 3.97 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 18th percentile.

Dean Kremer will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman in today's game. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the last week, Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph to 84.8 mph. Placing in the 21st percentile, Alex Bregman has put up a .270 BABIP this year.

Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF dimensions are the deepest. Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today. Out of all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's game. Posting a 4.31 K/BB rate this year, Jeremy Pena has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 13th percentile.

Ryan Mountcastle has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. In the past week, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 93.7 mph to 85 mph. With a 3.87 K/BB rate this year, Ryan Mountcastle has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 20th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zachary Dezenzo in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°.

Dean Kremer will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Altuve in today's game. In today's matchup, Jose Altuve is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41.4% rate (99th percentile). Out of all the teams today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's matchup. Jose Altuve's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.9-mph average last year has fallen to 90.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Chas McCormick has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Chas McCormick has had some very poor luck this year. His .192 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Ramon Urias will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Anthony Santander's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 6.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 18th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Colton Cowser will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week, Colton Cowser's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.8% down to 8.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Yusei Kikuchi in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in the majors. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Jackson Holliday will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jackson Holliday has had some very poor luck this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .303.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Ben Gamel will have the upper hand today.

Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Victor Caratini has compiled a .276 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Eloy Jimenez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup.

The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi in today's game. Emmanuel Rivera has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Jake Meyers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 95.8-mph over the last 7 days. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 19.6% on the season to 46.2% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 8th-best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. Austin Slater is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage against Yusei Kikuchi today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The #7 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 83°. Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jon Singleton is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 85°. Jon Singleton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Jon Singleton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.