Houston @ Baltimore Picks & Props
HOU vs BAL Picks
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HOU vs BAL Consensus Picks
66% picking Baltimore
Total PicksHOU 275, BAL 525
69% picking Houston vs Baltimore to go Over
Total PicksHOU 335, BAL 153
HOU vs BAL Props
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a tough challenge in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 21.6% to 11.4%. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 11.4% on the season to 7.7% in the past 7 days.
Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Chas McCormick has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.219) provides evidence that Chas McCormick has experienced some negative variance this year with his .197 actual batting average.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
Jeremy Pena's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Jeremy Pena has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.
Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Holliday usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand in today's game.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
Jose Altuve's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Jose Altuve has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.5-mph.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today.
Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Alex Bregman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 19th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP talent. Colton Cowser is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Arrighetti in today's game.
Shay Whitcomb Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Over the last week, Shay Whitcomb has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power). Over the last week, Shay Whitcomb has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced proxy for home run potential. Shay Whitcomb has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 50% of the time over the past week.
Ramón Urías Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ramon Urias has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Ramon Urias tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's game.
Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ryan O'Hearn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup.
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 40% to 47.2%. When it comes to his batting average, Jake Meyers has had some very poor luck this year. His .228 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.
Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston
Victor Caratini is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Victor Caratini hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Victor Caratini's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 14.3%.
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Mauricio Dubon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mauricio Dubon has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Anthony Santander is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today's game.
Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Ryan Mountcastle's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best park in the league for RHB base hits. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Ryan Mountcastle has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jon Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston
The #7 park in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jon Singleton hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jon Singleton's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to assess power) has been 115.4 mph this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.
HOU vs BAL Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 68 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 125 games (+17.75 Units / 13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+6.35 Units / 71% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 125 games (-29.55 Units / -22% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 114 games (-20.55 Units / -15% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 49 of their last 114 games (-17.35 Units / -10% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Over in 60 of their last 126 games (-16.45 Units / -11% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 48 of their last 85 games (+16.00 Units / 16% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 81 games (+13.45 Units / 15% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 113 games (+11.45 Units / 8% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 25% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 81 games (-20.60 Units / -23% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 54 games (-14.60 Units / -19% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 15 games (-7.20 Units / -38% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (-1.90 Units / -26% ROI)
HOU vs BAL Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||