World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksAZ 282, MIA 110
Total PicksAZ 186, MIA 92
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 6th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Pfaadt's large platoon split. Xavier Edwards has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-deepest LF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 6th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Adam Oller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Derek Hill is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's game. Derek Hill's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 49.2% on the season to 77.8% over the last 7 days.
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 6th-most favorable hitting conditions on the slate today. Today, Jake McCarthy is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.6% rate (81st percentile). Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy today.
Ali Sanchez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ali Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. Ali Sanchez has been unlucky this year, posting a .172 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .265 — a .093 deviation.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jake Burger has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.4% seasonal rate to 24.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Jonah Bride is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage in today's game. In the past week, Jonah Bride's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 15.4%. Jonah Bride has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 92.7-mph.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Corbin Carroll's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph in recent games.
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Adrian Del Castillo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Oller in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Adrian Del Castillo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20% up to 20%. Adrian Del Castillo has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well of late, notching a 29.4° angle on such balls in the last two weeks.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Over the last two weeks, Josh Bell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph of late.
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kevin Newman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 88-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 85.7-mph. Kevin Newman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 10.1% on the season to 30% over the past week. Posting a .274 batting average this year, Kevin Newman has performed in the 82nd percentile.
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today.
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Geraldo Perdomo has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph average. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo's 26.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.8%. Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 2.06 K/BB rate. Geraldo Perdomo has compiled a .267 batting average this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Considering Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Kyle Stowers will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Stowers has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90-mph average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Otto Lopez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.7% seasonal rate to 10% in the past week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. LoanDepot Park ranks as the #3 stadium in the majors for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Eugenio Suarez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.1% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days. Eugenio Suarez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 86-mph in the last week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.2°, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 41.4° angle in the last week.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today's game. Joc Pederson has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 14.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. LoanDepot Park profiles as the #3 park in the majors for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Because of Brandon Pfaadt's large platoon split, Jesus Sanchez will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt... and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split. Among every team playing today, the 15th-worst infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Vidal Brujan will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Jose Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||