Minnesota @ Texas Picks & Props

The #2 ballpark in the league for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Tyler Mahle will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Miranda today. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability. Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand in today's game. Edouard Julien's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (20.9°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° mark last year. Edouard Julien's 11.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) grades out in the 80th percentile this year. This year, Edouard Julien's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 83rd percentile at 94.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the majors. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Pablo Lopez throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Josh Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In notching a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Smith is positioned in the 79th percentile.

Over the last two weeks, Austin Martin's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.2-mph over the course of the season to 91.1-mph in recent games. Austin Martin has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .240 figure is a good deal lower than his .278 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.9 K/BB rate this year, Austin Martin has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 85th percentile.

Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's game.

Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Max Kepler has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.1° figure over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. Leody Taveras's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 43.9% on the season to 55.2% in the past two weeks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year with his .285 actual wOBA.

Willi Castro's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Willi Castro has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games. In the past week, Willi Castro's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.1%. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 48.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the past week, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 18.8%. Wyatt Langford has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.5-mph.

In the last week's worth of games, Carlos Santana's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 21.4%. Carlos Santana has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 97.5-mph over the past 7 days. In the last 14 days, Carlos Santana's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%. With a 1.71 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

Over the last 7 days, Kyle Farmer's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.4% up to 18.2%. Kyle Farmer's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 17.5% on the season to 45.5% in the last 7 days. When it comes to his batting average, Kyle Farmer has suffered from bad luck this year. His .196 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .231.

Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Carson Kelly has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 16.3% on the season to 26.1% in the last week's worth of games.

Manuel Margot's batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). There has been a significant improvement in Manuel Margot's launch angle from last season's 10.6° to 14° this year. Manuel Margot has been unlucky this year, posting a .281 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .027 difference.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last week, Adolis Garcia's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.6% down to 5.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 18th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Out of all the teams playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game. Josh Jung's launch angle of late (26.6° in the last week) is quite a bit better than his 16.6° seasonal figure. Josh Jung's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (21.5°) is a considerable increase over his 14.8° figure last season.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle in today's matchup. Matt Wallner has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 18.8% rate last year to 29.6% this season. With a .382 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Matt Wallner is positioned in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Royce Lewis is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 12.3% to 20.2%. Royce Lewis has posted a .385 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 98th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Royce Lewis has compiled a .402 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 96th percentile.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Ryan Jeffers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph to 96.6-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Mahle today. Trevor Larnach has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 92-mph average. Trevor Larnach has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .321 mark is quite a bit lower than his .352 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.