Kansas City @ Cincinnati Picks & Props
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KC vs CIN Props
Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Despite posting a .425 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has experienced some positive variance given the .048 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .377.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.7-mph average last season has fallen to 90-mph. Over the last week, Maikel Garcia's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%. By putting up a .267 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Maikel Garcia finds himself in the 10th percentile. Maikel Garcia has put up a .268 BABIP this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Noelvi Marte has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .227 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Noelvi Marte has had some very poor luck given the .064 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .291.
Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today. Tyler Stephenson has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 15.6% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Ty France Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Ty France will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
T.J. Friedl is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, T.J. Friedl will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Luke Maile Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Luke Maile will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Dairon Blanco's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Will Benson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split. Will Benson pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Paul DeJong will have an edge in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.
Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for left-handed batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Freddy Fermin will have the upper hand today. Freddy Fermin pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Garrett Hampson will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup.
KC vs CIN Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 68 of their last 119 games (+10.39 Units / 7% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 41% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.75 Units / 19% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 away games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 40 games (-14.95 Units / -31% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 23 games (-10.80 Units / -42% ROI)
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Run Line in 64 of their last 111 games (+10.75 Units / 7% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games at home (+12.70 Units / 22% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 58 of their last 107 games (+9.45 Units / 8% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 73 games (+5.55 Units / 6% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 108 games (-23.20 Units / -18% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 107 games (-20.50 Units / -17% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 61 games at home (-17.00 Units / -24% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 62 games at home (-10.80 Units / -15% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 60 games at home (-10.60 Units / -13% ROI)
KC vs CIN Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||