Arizona @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 3rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Kameron Misner is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup. Tropicana Field grades out as the #28 venue in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

Tropicana Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -7° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Yandy Diaz faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (0.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 4.9° mark last season. Yandy Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 38.8% on the season to 19.4% in the last two weeks.

Ketel Marte projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ketel Marte has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 11.7% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Drew Rasmussen will hold the platoon advantage over Randal Grichuk in today's matchup. Randal Grichuk pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Randal Grichuk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.8% up to 25%. Randal Grichuk has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 95.2-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The 5th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Tropicana Field. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game. Junior Caminero has hit one of the hardest balls in Major League Baseball in the last 7 days — 116.3-mph — which is a strong proxy for recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Joc Pederson has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14.4% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Adrian Del Castillo has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last two weeks, Adrian Del Castillo has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .407. Adrian Del Castillo has been hot recently, compiling a a 20% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) over the last two weeks. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Adrian Del Castillo has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 29.4° angle.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Corbin Carroll has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Corbin Carroll has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 92.4-mph. Corbin Carroll has been unlucky this year, compiling a .304 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .028 disparity.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Josh Bell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past 14 days, Josh Bell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph of late. Josh Bell's launch angle this year (11.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 8.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Christopher Morel will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christopher Morel has experienced some negative variance given the .035 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. The 5th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Tropicana Field. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Drew Rasmussen today. This season, Geraldo Perdomo has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 89.2 mph compared to last year's 87.1 mph mark. In the past two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.2-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The 5th-shallowest left field fences in MLB are found in Tropicana Field. Batting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have a tough challenge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Jake McCarthy has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jake McCarthy has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 87-mph. Jake McCarthy's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (16.2°) is a significant increase over his 11.1° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today. Brandon Lowe's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.7°) is significantly better than his 13.9° mark last season.

Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Kevin Newman encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Kevin Newman has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Kevin Newman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 85.6-mph. Kevin Newman has notched a .275 batting average this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile.

In the league, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Dylan Carlson's launch angle of late (24.7° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 17.2° seasonal mark. Last year, Dylan Carlson had an average launch angle of 15° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23°. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dylan Carlson has suffered from bad luck given the .037 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

Jose Caballero is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.4°, Jose Caballero has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.6° mark over the last 14 days. Grading out in the 76th percentile, Jose Caballero has put up a .319 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Eugenio Suarez will not have the upper hand today. Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last 14 days, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 31.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.9°.

In the league, Tropicana Field's right field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today. Taylor Walls has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 90.1-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 35.7° figure in the past week's worth of games. Taylor Walls has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly today. Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Ben Rortvedt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 91st percentile, Ben Rortvedt sports a .352 BABIP this year.

Alex Jackson has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.