Kansas City @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 94 mph to 90.5 mph. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, putting up a .425 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .376 — a .049 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Paul DeJong will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Tyler Stephenson faces a tough challenge in today's game. Tyler Stephenson has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .335 rate is a good deal higher than his .321 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 18th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has posted a .262 BABIP this year.

T.J. Friedl is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. T.J. Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 9th-shallowest RF dimensions among all parks. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest LF fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.

Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Maikel Garcia's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.7-mph figure last season has decreased to 90-mph. Maikel Garcia's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 16.3% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Maikel Garcia has notched a .267 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 9th percentile. Posting a .266 BABIP this year, Maikel Garcia has performed in the 20th percentile.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Dairon Blanco will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Freddy Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters.

The #6 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha in today's game. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today. Noelvi Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Garrett Hampson's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Garrett Hampson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today.

Hunter Renfroe has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (76% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #6 stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 3rd-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Hunter Renfroe will have an edge in today's matchup.