Minnesota @ Texas Picks & Props

The #2 ballpark in baseball for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -13° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Wallner has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 18.8% rate last season to 30.2% this year. Matt Wallner has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 91.9-mph average. Grading out in the 98th percentile, Matt Wallner sports a .387 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season. Matt Wallner has recorded a .361 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Smith has put up a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Wyatt Langford has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91.2-mph. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.337) implies that Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.346) implies that Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side this year with his .310 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today's matchup. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 12.3% to 20.5%. Posting a .276 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Royce Lewis is ranked in the 89th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung as the 17th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the past week, Josh Jung's 61.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 53.3%. By putting up a .265 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Josh Jung has performed in the 78th percentile.

Carlos Santana has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Andrew Heaney. Carlos Santana has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the past 7 days. Carlos Santana has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph EV. In the past two weeks, Carlos Santana's 32.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Leody Taveras's launch angle this year (12.9°) is significantly better than his 9.9° figure last season. Over the past 7 days, Leody Taveras's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .300 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has had bad variance on his side given the .024 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 43.9% on the season to 57.1% over the past two weeks. Placing in the 81st percentile, Max Kepler has notched a .323 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Over the past week, Willi Castro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph lately. Willi Castro's launch angle in recent games (19.7° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 12.7° seasonal mark. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 41.9% to 49.2%. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Willi Castro sits with a .331 BABIP this year.

Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.9 mph compared to last year's 90.3 mph mark.

Ryan Jeffers will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle lately (12.3° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 15.4° seasonal mark.

Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Manuel Margot is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Manuel Margot will have an advantage in today's matchup. Manuel Margot's launch angle this season (14°) is significantly better than his 10.6° angle last season. Manuel Margot has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 figure is quite a bit lower than his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jose Miranda's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Miranda is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Jose Miranda will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney today. Posting a .361 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Miranda finds himself in the 91st percentile. Jose Miranda has compiled a .311 batting average this year, ranking in the 98th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Austin Martin will have the upper hand today. Over the last week, Austin Martin's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.2-mph over the course of the season to 92.8-mph in recent games. In terms of his batting average, Austin Martin has been unlucky this year. His .240 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277. As it relates to plate discipline, Austin Martin's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.9 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 85th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an edge in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Kyle Farmer's launch angle from last year's 13° to 16.7° this year. In the last week's worth of games, Kyle Farmer's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%. In terms of his batting average, Kyle Farmer has suffered from bad luck this year. His .200 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .228.