Kansas City @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%.

The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today's game.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a tough matchup today. Out of every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. From last season to this one, Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.3% to 40.2%. Placing in the 13th percentile, Tyler Stephenson sports a .257 BABIP this year.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 94-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 90.5-mph over the last two weeks. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, compiling a .421 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .375 — a .046 difference.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Freddy Fermin pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. In notching a .290 batting average this year, Freddy Fermin grades out in the 91st percentile.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, T.J. Friedl will have an advantage in today's matchup. T.J. Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.

The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage in today's game. Jeimer Candelario has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 7 days.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Paul DeJong has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.5-mph.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Noelvi Marte will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Noelvi Marte has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 86.9-mph average. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte's true offensive skill to be a .291, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .059 deviation between that figure and his actual .232 wOBA.

The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Will Benson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Will Benson's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (18.7°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.5° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge in today's game. Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Adam Frazier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In Major League Baseball, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Ty France will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #7 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-most humidity on the schedule today at 81%. Hunter Renfroe pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Hunter Renfroe has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #7 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the schedule today at 76%. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's game.

Maikel Garcia has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.