World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksNYM 528, COL 211
Total PicksNYM 268, COL 196
Jose Iglesias is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Jose Iglesias will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jose Iglesias is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Colorado (#3-best of all teams on the slate). Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Iglesias in today's game. Jose Iglesias has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph dropping to 79.5-mph in the past two weeks.
Francisco Alvarez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today. Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Francisco Alvarez will not have the upper hand today. Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days. Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 89-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 72.1-mph in the past week.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 0%. In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 93.5 mph to 86.7 mph. In the last two weeks, Brandon Nimmo's 29% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.7%.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today's game. Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 87.7-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 79.8-mph in the last week's worth of games. By putting up a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jeff McNeil is ranked in the 19th percentile for offensive ability. With a .256 BABIP this year, Jeff McNeil has performed in the 15th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in the game for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°.
Paul Blackburn will hold the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers today. This year, Brendan Rodgers's Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 11% last year to just 4.6% this year. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 19.7% to 9.4%. Brendan Rodgers has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .308 rate is quite a bit higher than his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Grading out in the 22nd percentile, Brendan Rodgers has posted a .286 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will bat from his worse side against Ryan Feltner in today's game. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 13.2% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last 7 days. Compared to his seasonal mark of 17.1°, Francisco Lindor has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.6°) in the past 14 days.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jesse Winker in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Jesse Winker's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%. Jesse Winker has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the past 14 days. From last season to this one, Jesse Winker's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.7% to 9.5%. Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jesse Winker has had some very good luck given the .020 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.
Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in the game for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Batting from the opposite that Paul Blackburn throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have the upper hand today.
Batting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage today. Ezequiel Tovar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 43.3% on the season to 16.7% in the last week's worth of games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.279) provides evidence that Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year with his .330 actual wOBA. Sporting a 9.76 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 1st percentile.
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Harrison Bader's launch angle in recent games (28° over the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 10.7° seasonal angle. Grading out in the 79th percentile, Harrison Bader has posted a .272 batting average this year.
Batting from the same side that Paul Blackburn throws from, Brenton Doyle meets a tough challenge in today's game. In the past week, Brenton Doyle's 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.8%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle's true offensive talent to be a .297, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .041 deviation between that mark and his actual .338 wOBA.
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 45.8% on the season to 55.6% in the last week. Tyrone Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .293 figure is quite a bit lower than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Kris Bryant will hold that advantage in today's game. Kris Bryant's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 19.4% on the season to 41.2% in the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in the game for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Paul Blackburn in today's game. Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Ryan Feltner will hold the platoon advantage over Pete Alonso today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today's game. Pete Alonso's launch angle this year (14.2°) is considerably lower than his 17.9° mark last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Vientos has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last season to 16.7% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in the game for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Jake Cave will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Blackburn today.
Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.D. Martinez today. The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team today. J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. J.D. Martinez's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 90.4-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. J.D. Martinez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 96.9-mph mark last season has fallen off to 94.5-mph.
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best field in the game for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 82°. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Ben Gamel will have an advantage today. Ben Gamel is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game as none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||