Philadelphia @ Seattle Picks & Props

Jason Vosler will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Jason Vosler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jason Vosler will hold that advantage in today's game. Jason Vosler has been hot recently, putting up a a 17.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When it comes to his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Marsh will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Hays's launch angle lately (31.8° over the past week) is a significant increase over his 13.2° seasonal figure. Sporting a .319 BABIP this year, Austin Hays grades out in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryce Harper has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. J.T. Realmuto has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is deflated compared to his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Checking in at the 80th percentile, J.T. Realmuto has notched a .328 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill. Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. Trea Turner has recorded a .371 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 92nd percentile. Trea Turner has compiled a .370 BABIP this year, grading out in the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. Compared to last year, Nick Castellanos has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15% to 18.9% this season. Over the last 14 days, Nick Castellanos's 59.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%. As it relates to his batting average, Nick Castellanos has had some very poor luck this year. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 89.8-mph.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#3-worst of all teams today). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Luke Raley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dylan Moore ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Dylan Moore's 25.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kyle Schwarber has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Victor Robles is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Victor Robles will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Victor Robles's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 56.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Justin Turner is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Justin Turner and his 18.5% rank in the 85th percentile this year.

HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Josh Rojas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Rojas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Alec Bohm has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 95.3-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Alec Bohm has notched a .303 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-shallowest among all major league parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Mitch Haniger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mitch Haniger has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 15% over the past 14 days.

Mitch Garver has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.