New York @ Philadelphia Picks & Props
NYY vs PHI Picks
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NYY vs PHI Consensus Picks
64% picking Philadelphia
Total PicksNYY 207, PHI 370
64% picking NY Yankees vs Philadelphia to go Over
Total PicksNYY 242, PHI 135
NYY vs PHI Props
Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Anthony Volpe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today. The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Anthony Volpe's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.7-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.7-mph.
Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Giancarlo Stanton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. With a 4.16 K/BB rate this year, Giancarlo Stanton has demonstrated weak plate discipline, ranking in the 17th percentile.
Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Aaron Judge's true offensive talent to be a .426, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .045 disparity between that figure and his actual .471 wOBA.
Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Over the last 14 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.4°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) over the last 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm's true offensive ability to be a .325, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .027 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .352 wOBA.
Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Castellanos's ability is quite bad, posting a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 25th percentile.
Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The #7 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Trea Turner's average exit velocity has declined of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 85.8-mph over the past two weeks. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 17.4% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side this year. His .321 BA has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.
Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Garrett Stubbs may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.
Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Batting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Juan Soto meets a tough challenge in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Juan Soto generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Juan Soto in today's matchup.
Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Alex Verdugo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the past 7 days.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 11th-best batter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Bryce Harper is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.
Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. Extreme groundball batters like Johan Rojas usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.
J.T. Realmuto Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an advantage in today's game.
Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters.
Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Austin Hays has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage over Nestor Cortes in today's matchup.
Weston Wilson Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Weston Wilson will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.
Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Edmundo Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's game.
Carlos Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Yankees
Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for dingers. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Carlos Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.
Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia
Bryson Stott has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
NYY vs PHI Trends
New York Trends
The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+16.80 Units / 19% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 44 games (+16.40 Units / 34% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+12.59 Units / 12% ROI)
The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 away games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games (+7.90 Units / 9% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 62 games (-25.90 Units / -38% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.95 Units / -23% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 39 games (-21.55 Units / -39% ROI)
The New York Yankees have only hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 109 games (-19.00 Units / -15% ROI)
Philadelphia Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 57 of their last 92 games (+19.65 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 47 games at home (+17.90 Units / 28% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 89 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+9.35 Units / 30% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 89 games (-25.40 Units / -24% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 102 games (-17.05 Units / -15% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (-15.45 Units / -17% ROI)
The Philadelphia Phillies have only covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 41 games (-10.40 Units / -22% ROI)
NYY vs PHI Top User Picks
NY Yankees Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAURO1954 | 6-4-0 | +20640 |
| 2 | faustobaez | 5-5-0 | +18570 |
| 3 | faustobone | 5-5-0 | +18455 |
| 4 | proliner55 | 7-3-0 | +17645 |
| 5 | cucamonga | 6-4-0 | +17345 |
| 6 | Jets73 | 8-2-0 | +16105 |
| 7 | Hawggolf1 | 5-5-0 | +16085 |
| 8 | burley | 7-3-0 | +15930 |
| 9 | poppyg | 6-4-0 | +15772 |
| 10 | Fekete | 7-3-0 | +14610 |
| All Yankees Money Leaders | |||
Philadelphia Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | fatrats | 8-2-0 | +21045 |
| 2 | jlayne089 | 5-5-0 | +20155 |
| 3 | jakringle | 4-6-0 | +19940 |
| 4 | Alayne | 9-1-0 | +19467 |
| 5 | dragon5868 | 5-5-0 | +19235 |
| 6 | tonloc4554 | 6-4-0 | +17610 |
| 7 | KSBreview | 6-4-0 | +15789 |
| 8 | JL023 | 3-7-0 | +15387 |
| 9 | DavePaliwoda | 7-3-0 | +15330 |
| 10 | nolajay | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| All Phillies Money Leaders | |||