Kansas City @ Chicago Picks & Props

Jonathan Cannon will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr.'s launch angle lately (5° in the last week) is a significant dropoff from his 15.5° seasonal figure. Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, posting a .412 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .371 — a .041 discrepancy.

Jonathan Cannon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 89-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the past 7 days, Salvador Perez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Salvador Perez has been lucky this year with his .276 actual batting average.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino today. Vinnie Pasquantino has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week. Vinnie Pasquantino has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph dropping to 84.5-mph over the last 7 days. Vinnie Pasquantino has posted a .262 BABIP this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.

Michael Massey's BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Michael Massey has displayed bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile with a 4.62 K/BB rate. Posting a .242 BABIP this year, Michael Massey is ranked in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Luis Robert is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Robert pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Robert will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Maikel Garcia's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Maikel Garcia has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) may lead us to conclude that Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance this year with his .238 actual batting average.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Korey Lee will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, Korey Lee has suffered from bad luck this year. His .216 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Freddy Fermin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Sporting a .283 batting average this year, Freddy Fermin is positioned in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Eloy Jimenez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's game. In comparison to his 85.5-mph average last year, Paul DeJong's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 87.9 mph. Paul DeJong has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Senzel will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nick Senzel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 11.4% to 22.1%. Nick Senzel has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .196 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .240 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Andrew Vaughn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Andrew Vaughn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today's matchup. Kyle Isbel's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 41.1% on the season to 60% in the past 14 days.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Gavin Sheets will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon today. Adam Frazier has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .197 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nicky Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nicky Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's game. Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nicky Lopez will hold that advantage today.

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hunter Renfroe pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Hunter Renfroe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Hunter Renfroe's launch angle from last year's 14.9° to 18.7° this year. Hunter Renfroe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 35.1% on the season to 60% in the past week's worth of games.

The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Riley Baldwin pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Riley Baldwin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Notching a 92.6-mph average exit velocity in the last week's worth of games, Riley Baldwin has been in great form lately. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Riley Baldwin has posted a 32.5° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge in today's matchup. MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Corey Julks has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Chuckie Robinson has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.