Toronto @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cade Povich will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Horwitz in today's matchup.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cade Povich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Daulton Varsho in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in MLB. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Kevin Kiermaier encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph EV.

Yariel Rodriguez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. Ryan Mountcastle has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Ryan Mountcastle has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph dropping to 84.1-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's skill is quite weak, posting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 21st percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Based on Statcast metrics, George Springer is in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .360.

Ernie Clement's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sporting a .275 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Ernie Clement is ranked in the 85th percentile.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Colton Cowser is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James McCann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Sporting a .333 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, James McCann is ranked in the 80th percentile for offensive skills.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Ramon Urias's launch angle from last year's 7.7° to 10.9° this season.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jordan Westburg will hold that advantage today. Jordan Westburg has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.5% rate last season to 11.9% this year.

Justin Turner is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past 14 days, Justin Turner's 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.3%. In terms of plate discipline, Justin Turner's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.48 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 92nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in MLB. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences in MLB. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best stadium in the league for left-handed base hits. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Davis Schneider has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 91.5-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.8% up to 25%.

The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Connor Norby's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #8 park in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today. Connor Norby has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph.

Cavan Biggio has not yet played a game this season.

Jorge Mateo has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Daniel Vogelbach has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Danny Jansen has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Bo Bichette has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Steward Berroa has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Heston Kjerstad has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.