Boston @ Colorado Picks & Props

Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game. When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Romy Gonzalez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 46% of the time. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Romy Gonzalez in today's matchup. Romy Gonzalez's 5.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in MLB: 11th percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the past week's worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%. Ceddanne Rafaela's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 79.7-mph in the past week.

Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran today. In the past two weeks, Jarren Duran's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%. Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jarren Duran has been very fortunate given the .026 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Connor Wong will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Connor Wong's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.1-mph mark last season has fallen off to 86.2-mph. Connor Wong's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 86.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 79.8-mph in the last two weeks. Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°, Connor Wong has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.8°) in the last two weeks.

When starting against a southpaw this year, Rob Refsnyder has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Rob Refsnyder will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Rob Refsnyder's launch angle this season (8.5°) is considerably worse than his 11.6° angle last year. Despite posting a .369 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rob Refsnyder has been very fortunate given the .041 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Batting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Rafael Devers will have an edge in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the past week, Rafael Devers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.2% up to 33.3%. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.3°, Rafael Devers has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21° mark in the last week's worth of games.

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage over Brendan Rodgers in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Typically, batters like Brendan Rodgers who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Tanner Houck. Brendan Rodgers has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last season has decreased to 4.9% this season. From last year to this one, Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.7% to 9.3%. Brendan Rodgers has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is quite a bit higher than his .272 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Tyler O'Neill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) suggests that Tyler O'Neill has been very fortunate this year with his .259 actual batting average.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Feltner in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masataka Yoshida in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the past two weeks.

Tanner Houck will hold the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Houck's large platoon split. Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .332 mark is a good deal higher than his .280 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's talent is quite poor, posting a 9.2 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 1st percentile.

Ryan McMahon's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The #1 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°.

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Elias Diaz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The #1 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Aaron Schunk will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #1 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The #1 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Houck in today's matchup... and moreover, Houck has a large platoon split.

The #1 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Sam Hilliard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even better, Houck has a large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The #1 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Jake Cave will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Houck today... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split.

The #1 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Out of all the teams in action today, the 9th-worst outfield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Jacob Stallings will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #1 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Tanner Houck) in this game.

The #1 field in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting of all games on the slate. Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage over Jamie Westbrook today.

David Hamilton has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.