San Francisco @ Colorado Picks & Props

39% of the time that Luis Matos has started against a southpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Matos today. Luis Matos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 41% to 33.3%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Matt Chapman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.8% down to 0%. Matt Chapman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.8-mph in the last week.

Brendan Rodgers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Brendan Rodgers will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Brendan Rodgers tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb. Brendan Rodgers has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 5% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an edge in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.275) implies that Ezequiel Tovar has been lucky this year with his .328 actual wOBA. When it comes to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's skill is quite weak, posting a 9.13 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 1st percentile.

Thairo Estrada is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Thairo Estrada will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Thairo Estrada's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 16% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last week. Heliot Ramos has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph dropping to 89.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Wilmer Flores's BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wilmer Flores in today's matchup. Wilmer Flores's average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph EV last year has dropped to 83.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's matchup. Elias Diaz has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the last two weeks. Elias Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 91.2-mph figure last year has dropped to 87.8-mph.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the last week, Jorge Soler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 22.2%. Jorge Soler's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 92.2-mph seasonal average has lowered to 76.3-mph over the last two weeks.

Patrick Bailey is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 36%. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the best out of every team today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Patrick Bailey in today's matchup. Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Patrick Bailey has experienced some positive variance given the .046 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an edge in today's game. Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has had some very good luck given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .296.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Michael Conforto is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Over the last week, Michael Conforto's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 106.5-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Over the last 14 days, Mike Yastrzemski has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.8% to 16.7%. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 94.5-mph. Mike Yastrzemski's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 14% on the season to 33.3% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Blake Snell will hold the platoon advantage over Sam Hilliard in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 24th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. There has been a decrease in Charlie Blackmon's average exit velocity this season, from 86.4 mph last year to 84.4 mph now Charlie Blackmon has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .324 mark is considerably higher than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. By putting up a .277 batting average this year, Brett Wisely is positioned in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage today.

Jake Cave's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Jake Cave will have a tough challenge today. Jake Cave will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ryan Feltner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Curt Casali in today's matchup. Posting a 1.66 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Curt Casali has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best venue in MLB for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Blake Snell Michael Toglia will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Michael Toglia has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 18.1% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ryan Feltner will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Fitzgerald in today's matchup. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.73 ft/sec this year, Tyler Fitzgerald is notably fast.

Jacob Stallings has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.