Houston @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. Framber Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Luke Raley in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Luke Raley has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. Hitting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, J.P. Crawford encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Ty France has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90.2-mph figure. Ty France's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.4°) is significantly better than his 11.2° mark last season.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Mitch Garver with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Brown who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Mitch Garver's launch angle in recent games (26.2° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.7° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today. Julio Rodriguez has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past 14 days.

Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Polanco has suffered from bad luck this year. His .257 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. Hitting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, Josh Rojas will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Josh Rojas's launch angle of late (21.8° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 14.2° seasonal figure.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 81°. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Dylan Moore generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) implies that Dylan Moore has been unlucky this year with his .211 actual batting average.

Victor Robles pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Robles will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.358) provides evidence that Victor Robles has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .337 actual wOBA. Sporting a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Victor Robles is ranked in the 92nd percentile. Victor Robles ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (46% rate since the start of last season).

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown. Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.