New York @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Over the past week, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 93.8 mph to 80.3 mph. Ryan Mountcastle's launch angle of late (15.6° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 11° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Benjamin Rice ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Benjamin Rice is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°.

Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .221 figure is a fair amount lower than his .251 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dean Kremer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today. Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Aaron Judge's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 27.5% down to 17.9%. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 101.9-mph EV last season has dropped off to 99.7-mph.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the league. Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Gunnar Henderson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage over Dean Kremer in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Gleyber Torres has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Cedric Mullins II pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Cedric Mullins II's launch angle of late (38.8° over the last 14 days) is considerably higher than his 23.7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Dean Kremer today. Austin Wells has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Austin Wells has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 45° mark in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jordan Westburg is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Jordan Westburg will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Trent Grisham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Trent Grisham's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 29.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his better side against Carlos Rodon today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 92°. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 41.8% on the season to 54.5% in the last week. DJ LeMahieu has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .238 figure is a good deal lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Carlos Rodon in this game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Santander will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, James McCann will have an advantage today. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the league for lefty BABIP. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Oswaldo Cabrera will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Dean Kremer today. Oswaldo Cabrera hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Anthony Volpe has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Volpe has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .245 BA is a fair amount lower than his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today. Austin Hays has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best park in the majors for right-handed base hits. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 91°. Jorge Mateo will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Jorge Mateo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Jorge Mateo has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 35.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°.