Colorado @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Hunter Goodman will have a tough challenge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Batting from the same side that Cal Quantrill throws from, Spencer Steer will be in a tough position today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Spencer Steer's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 108 mph this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Stephenson today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Tyler Stephenson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%. Over the last 14 days, Tyler Stephenson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 39.9%.

Cal Quantrill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan India today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Jonathan India has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 83.2-mph over the last 7 days. Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.4-mph EV last year has decreased to 87-mph. Jonathan India has been lucky this year, compiling a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .017 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Nolan Jones has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. Cal Quantrill will hold the platoon advantage over Noelvi Marte today. Today, Noelvi Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (82nd percentile). Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Noelvi Marte has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° just 15.4% of the time in the past 7 days.

Brendan Rodgers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 11th-deepest CF fences today. Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the past two weeks, Brendan Rodgers's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.8 mph to 74.4 mph. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 19.7% to 8.3%. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 8.3% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°.

Edwin Rios is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 8th-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Edwin Rios will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Ryan McMahon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today. Michael Toglia has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 16.3% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report predicts the 4th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Charlie Blackmon has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Charlie Blackmon has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24° angle over the last two weeks.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Jacob Stallings will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 6th-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brenton Doyle is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a tough challenge today.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cal Quantrill.

Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's LF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage against Elias Diaz in today's matchup.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Will Benson will have an edge today. Will Benson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Will Benson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.6-mph.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 park in the league for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Jeimer Candelario pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #9 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 83°. Santiago Espinal has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Santiago Espinal's true offensive skill to be a .283, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .060 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .223 wOBA.

Austin Slater has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.