Atlanta @ Arizona Picks & Props
ATL vs AZ Picks
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ATL vs AZ Consensus Picks
70% picking Atlanta
Total PicksATL 646, AZ 274
ATL vs AZ Props
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams on the slate today. Ozzie Albies is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Arizona (#1-best of the day).
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Elder. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today.
Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Jordan Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley in today's matchup. In today's matchup, Austin Riley is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley today.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage today.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Placing in the 86th percentile, Sean Murphy has posted a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Sale's large platoon split.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Last year, Orlando Arcia had an average launch angle of 5.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 8.8°. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Orlando Arcia has experienced some negative variance given the .035 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today. Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph to 88.5-mph in the past week's worth of games.
Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have the upper hand today.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Chris Sale will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Thomas in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Sale's large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves outfield defense grades out as the 14th-best out of every team on the slate today.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Chris Sale will hold the platoon advantage against Joc Pederson today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Sale's large platoon split.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's matchup.
Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. In the last two weeks, Adam Duvall's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.1-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph of late. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.301) provides evidence that Adam Duvall has experienced some negative variance this year with his .254 actual wOBA.
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Marcell Ozuna has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 94.9-mph in the last two weeks.
Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona
Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split. Kevin Newman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Kevin Newman has compiled a .279 batting average this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.
Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field projects as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to more offense. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Randal Grichuk will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.
ATL vs AZ Trends
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+17.05 Units / 27% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 38 away games (+12.94 Units / 27% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.55 Units / 35% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.30 Units / 22% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 4% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 76 games (-35.40 Units / -43% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 38 away games (-18.85 Units / -43% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 31 away games (-15.65 Units / -44% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 32 away games (-14.15 Units / -30% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 19 away games (-12.25 Units / -50% ROI)
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+8.00 Units / 22% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 90 games (+6.40 Units / 6% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.30 Units / 19% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 34 games (-16.10 Units / -43% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 90 games (-13.20 Units / -13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games at home (-12.25 Units / -30% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 36 games at home (-11.20 Units / -27% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games at home (-6.75 Units / -12% ROI)
ATL vs AZ Top User Picks
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||