Arizona @ San Diego props

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today. The #7 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. In the last week's worth of games, Jackson Merrill's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Petco Park projects as the #23 field in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Ryne Nelson will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 17.7% to 11.6%.

Petco Park projects as the #23 field in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Donovan Solano will be at a disadvantage today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Donovan Solano's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 90.2-mph mark last year has fallen off to 87-mph.

The #7 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jake Cronenworth's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

The #7 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest among every team on the slate today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped off to 87.1-mph. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 82.7-mph in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today's game. Corbin Carroll hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Corbin Carroll has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .277 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .308 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today's matchup. Joc Pederson has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Joc Pederson has put up a .396 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. In the last week's worth of games, Gabriel Moreno's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 27.3%. Gabriel Moreno has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV.

Jake McCarthy's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. Jake McCarthy's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (15.8°) is considerably higher than his 11.1° mark last year.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today's game. Over the last week, Alek Thomas's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 20%. Alek Thomas has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.7-mph EV. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) provides evidence that Alek Thomas has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Christian Walker has made big improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.3% rate last year to 17.1% this season. Over the past 7 days, Christian Walker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.1% up to 37.5%.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. In the last week's worth of games, Eugenio Suarez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Over the last week, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87-mph over the course of the season to 90.4-mph in recent games. Geraldo Perdomo has displayed good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.5 K/BB rate.

Grading out in the 78th percentile, Kevin Newman has posted a .273 batting average this year.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Jurickson Profar's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 18.8%. Jurickson Profar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 94-mph in the last 14 days. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 42% to 49.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Ha-seong Kim hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 91.1-mph. When it comes to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year. His .222 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Luis Campusano will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today's game. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today's game. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 46.8% to 56.6%. In terms of his batting average, David Peralta has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .255 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .295.