Arizona @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
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AZ vs LAD Props
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage over Landon Knack in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Joc Pederson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately. Joc Pederson has posted a .384 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 94th percentile.
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Gabriel Moreno are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landon Knack. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that Gabriel Moreno has suffered from bad luck this year with his .232 actual batting average. Grading out in the 98th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score this year, Gabriel Moreno demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Freddie Freeman's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (5.2° over the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 14.8° seasonal figure.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
Jake McCarthy's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dodger Stadium has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Jake McCarthy will hold the platoon advantage over Landon Knack in today's game. Hitters such as Jake McCarthy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landon Knack who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Jake McCarthy's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (15.8°) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° mark last year.
Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Taylor in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Chris Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Chris Taylor has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .234 mark is deflated compared to his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. The standard deviation of Chris Taylor's launch angle since the start of last season (25.2°) is in the 92nd percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Batting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corbin Carroll's true offensive skill to be a .328, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .052 difference between that mark and his actual .276 wOBA.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona
Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Despite posting a .267 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eugenio Suarez has been unlucky given the .048 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .315.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Landon Knack throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Alek Thomas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landon Knack. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) may lead us to conclude that Alek Thomas has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
Ketel Marte projects as the 20th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ketel Marte has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 91.1-mph figure. Ketel Marte has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.3-mph figure. Based on Statcast data, Ketel Marte grades out in the 87th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .278.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 37.1% to 44.3%. As it relates to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 95th percentile.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen today. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Lux has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gavin Lux's true offensive talent to be a .303, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .051 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Christian Walker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season's 88-mph figure. Christian Walker has put up a .352 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 12th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Teoscar Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 14.3% to 17.5%. Teoscar Hernandez has compiled a .333 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Miguel Rojas's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 9.6% on the season to 40% over the last 7 days. As it relates to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.63 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile. Miguel Rojas has put up a .283 batting average this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.
Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andy Pages is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Dodger Stadium has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today's game. Andy Pages's 21.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in MLB: 97th percentile.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Jason Heyward is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Jason Heyward will have an edge in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jason Heyward will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jason Heyward's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.6% on the season to 21.4% over the last 7 days.
Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Kike Hernandez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph average. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kike Hernandez's true offensive talent to be a .293, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .032 difference between that figure and his actual .261 wOBA.
Austin Barnes Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Austin Barnes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Austin Barnes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
AZ vs LAD Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 away games (+7.75 Units / 26% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 43 away games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 77 games (+5.65 Units / 6% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.05 Units / 47% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 77 games (-15.60 Units / -17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 77 games (-14.90 Units / -15% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 86 games (-13.20 Units / -13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 30 games (-11.65 Units / -36% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 84 games (-7.95 Units / -8% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 16% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+4.70 Units / 7% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 34 games at home (-16.75 Units / -41% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games at home (-14.10 Units / -18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 40 games at home (-9.10 Units / -19% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 41 games at home (-8.50 Units / -19% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 30 games (-6.30 Units / -18% ROI)
AZ vs LAD Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||