New York @ Washington Picks & Props

23% of the time that Harold Ramirez has started against a lefty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The #4 park in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Harold Ramirez's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89-mph mark last season has lowered to 86.3-mph. Harold Ramirez's launch angle this season (0°) is a significant dropoff from his 5.8° angle last season. Harold Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 10.6% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Nationals Park projects as the #26 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Nationals Park projects as the #26 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The 7th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. James Wood will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The 7th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

This matchup is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Harrison Bader has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week's worth of games. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 17.4% on the season to 26.7% over the past week. Harrison Bader has compiled a .269 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a .277 batting average this year, Harrison Bader is ranked in the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. J.D. Martinez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. J.D. Martinez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 19.9% on the season to 40% over the past week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the league. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 20.4° angle over the past week. Using Statcast metrics, Pete Alonso is in the 81st percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .337.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Francisco Alvarez has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 22.7% over the past two weeks. Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Lane Thomas will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.

This matchup is predicted to have the 13th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Keibert Ruiz's launch angle from last season's 15.1° to 19.8° this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive talent to be a .294, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .051 difference between that figure and his actual .243 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Joey Meneses will have an advantage today. Joey Meneses has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Tyrone Taylor has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.6% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last 14 days. Tyrone Taylor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.5-mph. Tyrone Taylor's launch angle recently (24.8° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 17.1° seasonal figure. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) may lead us to conclude that Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Mark Vientos has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 15.2% seasonal rate to 24% over the last 14 days. In the last two weeks, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 109.1-mph lately. Mark Vientos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 46.2% on the season to 64.3% in the past 7 days. Mark Vientos has put up a .399 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Nick Senzel will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Nick Senzel has suffered from bad luck this year with his .211 actual batting average.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Jose Quintana today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ildemaro Vargas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Posting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 95th percentile.

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, D.J. Stewart will have an advantage today. D.J. Stewart is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. D.J. Stewart pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The 7th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Nationals Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate at 88°. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Ben Gamel will have an advantage today. Ben Gamel is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Sporting a .274 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ben Gamel is positioned in the 89th percentile.