Cincinnati @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. There has been a significant improvement in Elly De La Cruz's launch angle from last year's 3.4° to 10.6° this season. Elly De La Cruz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (23.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 12.4° seasonal mark. Checking in at the 82nd percentile, Elly De La Cruz has put up a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage today. Alex Verdugo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .241 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to plate discipline, Alex Verdugo's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.8 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 85th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Extreme flyball batters like Juan Soto tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. DJ LeMahieu will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bats such as DJ LeMahieu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andrew Abbott who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Jose Trevino will have the upper hand today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jonathan India will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. Jonathan India has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 95-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the past two weeks, Jonathan India's 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.5%.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Jeimer Candelario has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 15% over the last 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Jeimer Candelario has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°.

Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jahmai Jones will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Levi Jordan will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball hitters like Levi Jordan are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Aaron Judge will have an edge today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Davis in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. J.D. Davis is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. J.D. Davis will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Abbott in today's game. J.D. Davis has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like J.D. Davis usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andrew Abbott.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Cincinnati Reds.

Santiago Espinal's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Santiago Espinal will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) provides evidence that Santiago Espinal has been unlucky this year with his .193 actual batting average.

Noelvi Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Noelvi Marte will have an advantage in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 115.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile. Noelvi Marte has recorded a .284 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an edge today. Tyler Stephenson has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson's 90.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in Major League Baseball this year: 76th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Spencer Steer will have an advantage in today's matchup. Spencer Steer has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.3-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.5-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal angle of 16.7°, Spencer Steer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.8°) over the past 14 days.

Stuart Fairchild will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. Stuart Fairchild's launch angle this season (21°) is a significant increase over his 14.1° mark last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 21°, Stuart Fairchild has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26° angle in the last two weeks.

Oswaldo Cabrera has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Luke Maile has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.