Arizona @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
AZ vs LAD Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
AZ vs LAD Consensus Picks
75% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksAZ 155, LAD 461
AZ vs LAD Props
Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Gabriel Moreno hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. When it comes to his batting average, Gabriel Moreno has suffered from bad luck this year. His .232 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248. Gabriel Moreno has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 95th percentile with a 1.41 K/BB rate.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Gavin Lux meets a tough challenge today. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gavin Lux has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Gavin Lux will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
When estimating his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Teoscar Hernandez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 14.3% to 17.9%.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage over Gavin Stone in today's matchup.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
Ketel Marte projects as the 20th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Ketel Marte has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 91.1-mph mark. Ketel Marte has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 96.9-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today's matchup. With a .384 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Joc Pederson has performed in the 95th percentile.
Chris Taylor Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Chris Taylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Chris Taylor has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .234 rate is considerably lower than his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play, and Chris Taylor's 25.2° mark (92nd percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.
Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Christian Walker has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88-mph mark.
Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona
Jake McCarthy's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.8°.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eugenio Suarez's true offensive ability to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .048 disparity between that figure and his actual .267 wOBA.
Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 37.1% to 46.6%. Posting a 1.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.
Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Jordan Baker) in charge of the strike zone in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 3rd-best venue in baseball for home runs. Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height. The weather forecast projects the 5th-most favorable pitching weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jordan Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shohei Ohtani in today's game.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Freddie Freeman's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 15.1°.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
Among all major league stadiums, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Stone in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) provides evidence that Alek Thomas has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .228 actual batting average.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Jordan Montgomery will have the handedness advantage against Jason Heyward in today's matchup. The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jason Heyward can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jason Heyward will hold that advantage in today's game. Jason Heyward has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 92-mph.
Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's skill is quite good, posting a 1.63 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 90th percentile. Placing in the 84th percentile, Miguel Rojas sports a .283 batting average this year.
AZ vs LAD Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+8.00 Units / 25% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.50 Units / 17% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.80 Units / 8% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 away games (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 76 games (-16.60 Units / -18% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 76 games (-15.90 Units / -16% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 39 of their last 85 games (-12.15 Units / -12% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 29 games (-10.55 Units / -33% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-9.65 Units / -9% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.95 Units / 32% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+7.10 Units / 25% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+4.50 Units / 31% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 33 games at home (-15.40 Units / -39% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 62 games (-9.45 Units / -14% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 39 games at home (-8.05 Units / -17% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 20 games at home (-5.55 Units / -24% ROI)
AZ vs LAD Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||