Houston @ New York Picks & Props

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup. The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Mauricio Dubon encounters a tough challenge today. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Yainer Diaz in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz in today's matchup. In the last week, Yainer Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

Citi Field projects as the #30 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Framber Valdez today. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, J.D. Martinez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros. J.D. Martinez's average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 93.4-mph EV last season has fallen off to 90.6-mph.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Luis Severino throws from, Alex Bregman will have a disadvantage today. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Alex Bregman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Luis Severino will have the handedness advantage over Jose Altuve in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Altuve has experienced some positive variance this year. His .354 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .332.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Chas McCormick has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph to 94.8-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Framber Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeff McNeil in today's game. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citi Field projects as the #30 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to less offense. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today's game. Yordan Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86.9-mph in the past 7 days. Yordan Alvarez's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (11°) is a significant dropoff from his 15.8° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Over the last week, Jeremy Pena's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph of late.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 7 days. Harrison Bader has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last season's 88-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Framber Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Nimmo today. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Joey Loperfido will have an edge today. Joey Loperfido hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jake Meyers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's game. Mark Vientos has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 15.1% seasonal rate to 29.2% in the past two weeks. Over the past week, Mark Vientos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.7-mph over the course of the season to 109.1-mph lately.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Torrens will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Framber Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Ben Gamel today. Ben Gamel hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ben Gamel will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) provides evidence that Ben Gamel has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .201 actual wOBA.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Jon Singleton will have the handedness advantage against Luis Severino in today's game. Jon Singleton is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Jon Singleton hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Trey Cabbage will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's matchup. Trey Cabbage is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Trey Cabbage hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

D.J. Stewart is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Citi Field. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, D.J. Stewart will be in a tough position in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and D.J. Stewart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.