St. Louis @ Chicago Picks & Props

Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Alec Burleson has not been good at making hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.6 mph) put him among the game's worst: in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season. Alec Burleson is not very quick, placing in the 13th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.6 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #9 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The #9 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Placing in the 21st percentile, the hardest ball Cody Bellinger has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt today.

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a tough challenge in today's game.

Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over Masyn Winn today. Masyn Winn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn's true offensive ability to be a .292, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .044 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .336 wOBA. With a .269 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Masyn Winn finds himself in the 8th percentile for hitting ability.

The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The #9 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today's game.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The #9 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas today.

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today. Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Nico Hoerner encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner's 1.7% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 5th percentile at 87.8 mph.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Christopher Morel meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. Christopher Morel grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (37.2% rate since the start of last season). With a .217 BABIP this year, Christopher Morel finds himself in the 5th percentile.

The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. In MLB, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The #9 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The #9 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brandon Crawford will have an edge today.

The #9 park in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hitters. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.