Detroit @ Houston props

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 10th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Kenta Maeda throws from, Mauricio Dubon has a tough challenge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 10th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Kenta Maeda will hold the platoon advantage over Yainer Diaz in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 9th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 10th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Kenta Maeda will have the handedness advantage over Jose Altuve in today's game. Ranked in the 7th percentile, Jose Altuve's average exit velocity of 86 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Riley Greene stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .246 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Chas McCormick has suffered from bad luck given the .064 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310. Based on Statcast metrics, Chas McCormick ranks in the 87th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .356. Chas McCormick's 11.1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) ranks in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Wenceel Perez is very fast, placing in the 80th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Mark Canha is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. With a 1.84 K/BB rate this year, Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Matt Vierling is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Matt Vierling has recorded a .274 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gio Urshela's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. In notching a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gio Urshela grades out in the 87th percentile. Gio Urshela is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.6% rate since the start of last season). Posting a .343 BABIP since the start of last season, Gio Urshela finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in MLB. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Yordan Alvarez has been unlucky this year, posting a .375 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .406 — a .031 difference.

Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Jon Singleton will hold the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. Extreme groundball batters like Jeremy Pena tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kenta Maeda. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jeremy Pena has posted a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Jake Meyers's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Minute Maid Park. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Meyers will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jake Meyers ranks in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). Placing in the 76th percentile, Jake Meyers sits with a .323 BABIP this year.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Bregman will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, Alex Bregman has been unlucky this year. His .240 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alex Bregman ranks in the 87th percentile with a 17.6° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the league.

Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. Zach McKinstry is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Zach McKinstry has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .225 figure is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 88th percentile.

Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Colt Keith will hold the platoon advantage over Ronel Blanco in today's matchup. Colt Keith has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Despite posting a .242 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has had some very poor luck given the .057 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Hitting from the opposite that Ronel Blanco throws from, Akil Baddoo will have an edge in today's matchup. Akil Baddoo has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Houston Astros has just 1 same-handed RP. Akil Baddoo has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Kenta Maeda throws from, Trey Cabbage will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Trey Cabbage will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Placing in the 84th percentile, the hardest ball Trey Cabbage has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.8 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability. Trey Cabbage is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season).