Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Westburg in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Westburg has experienced some positive variance given the .032 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

The #1 venue in MLB for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. Corbin Burnes will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore's #2-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Yandy Diaz, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs. This season, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.17 ft/sec currently.

Among all major league stadiums, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Jackson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive skill to be a .339, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .061 disparity between that mark and his actual .278 wOBA.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today. Jose Siri has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .197 figure is a good deal higher than his .186 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Richie Palacios will have an advantage in today's game. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Richie Palacios will hold that advantage today.

The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense grades out as the 12th-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's game. Taylor Walls's 18.9° launch angle (a reliable standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 92nd percentile.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (45.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes is an extreme flyball hitter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#1-worst on the slate today). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's game.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In terms of his batting average, James McCann has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .214 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .248. Ranking in the 79th percentile, the hardest ball James McCann has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.1 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. James McCann ranks in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.2% rate since the start of last season).

Anthony Santander is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Anthony Santander has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which ranks among the best in the majors at the 76th percentile. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile with a 20.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in Major League Baseball.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, notching a .229 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .077 deviation. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 99th percentile with a 21.7° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage today. Ryan O'Hearn has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Among all parks, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. The weather forecast calls for the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. In the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .349.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ryan Mountcastle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) implies that Ryan Mountcastle has experienced some positive variance this year with his .281 actual batting average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Ramon Urias usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Checking in at the 90th percentile, Ramon Urias sports a .335 BABIP since the start of last season.

The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Caballero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Burnes in today's matchup. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Amed Rosario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Ben Rortvedt has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.