Baltimore @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP. This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Westburg in today's game. Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP. This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.18 ft/sec currently. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.

Tropicana Field grades out as the #30 park in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will bat from his worse side against Zack Littell in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adley Rutschman in today's game.

Tropicana Field grades out as the #30 park in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .358, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .038 gap between that mark and his actual .396 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the worst venue in baseball for righty BABIP. This contest is forecasted to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Zack Littell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today's matchup. Ryan Mountcastle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today.

Richie Palacios will have the handedness advantage against Grayson Rodriguez today. Richie Palacios pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Richie Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive talent to be a .339, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .065 disparity between that figure and his actual .274 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Ryan O'Hearn will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Ryan O'Hearn has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .355.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Since the start of last season, Anthony Santander has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which is among the best in the majors at the 76th percentile. Anthony Santander's 20.1° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the league: 95th percentile. Grading out in the 76th percentile, Anthony Santander sports a .335 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Siri has been lucky this year. His .194 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .183. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Jose Siri's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) has been 113.7 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Cedric Mullins II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, putting up a .228 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .077 gap. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Cedric Mullins II ranks in the 99th percentile with a 21.7° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the league.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Brandon Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (45.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's 22.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to measure a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 99th percentile. Isaac Paredes has notched a .369 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

In Major League Baseball, Tropicana Field's right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's 18.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 92nd percentile.

Ramon Urias has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Placing in the 90th percentile, Ramon Urias sports a .335 BABIP since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage today. In terms of plate discipline, Ben Rortvedt's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.86 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 85th percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.