Busch Stadium
Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally bad for homers. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of every team on the slate today.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Nolan Gorman's 16.7% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 98th percentile among his peers.
Alec Burleson's batting average talent is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Alec Burleson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Alec Burleson has notched a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 76th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.8% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 98th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Ezequiel Tovar demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial skill for achieving a high batting average.
Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Charlie Blackmon will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn in today's game. Charlie Blackmon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.347) suggests that Charlie Blackmon has had some very poor luck this year with his .296 actual wOBA.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Elehuris Montero hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Elehuris Montero has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial skill for batting average), placing in the 83rd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Jose Fermin will have the handedness advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Jose Fermin will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Fermin has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .258 mark is considerably lower than his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's game. Brendan Donovan has notched a .370 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Brendan Donovan has recorded a .310 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 98th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Masyn Winn will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. By putting up a .343 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Masyn Winn finds himself in the 80th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Brenton Doyle has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 15.3° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (80th percentile). In notching a .328 BABIP this year, Brenton Doyle is ranked in the 78th percentile.
Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Ryan McMahon's 11.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers. Ryan McMahon's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Lance Lynn in today's game. Jake Cave hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Jake Cave has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.2° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (85th percentile). Placing in the 93rd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Jake Cave demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key skill for achieving a high batting average.
Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Elias Diaz grades out in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.6% rate since the start of last season). Elias Diaz has compiled a .279 batting average this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Ivan Herrera will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber in today's game. Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Brendan Rodgers's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Brendan Rodgers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brendan Rodgers's 10.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Austin Gomber. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.340) may lead us to conclude that Dylan Carlson has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .276 actual wOBA. Dylan Carlson ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.6% rate since the start of last season).
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. Nolan Arenado will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nolan Arenado has been lucky this year. His .298 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .281.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will get to bat from his good side against Lance Lynn in this game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.203) may lead us to conclude that Michael Toglia has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .149 actual batting average.
